Thursday, February 08, 2007

Recognizing the Armenian Genocide: Another Round

Much will depend on Congressman Tom Lantos,
Chair of the House Committee of Foreign Affairs

On January 30, 2007, Congressman Adam Schiff (D-California, 29th District) submitted House Resolution 106 to the 110th U.S. Congress. The bill
Call[s] upon the President to ensure that the foreign policy of the United States reflects appropriate understanding and sensitivity concerning issues related to human rights, ethnic cleansing, and genocide documented in the United States record relating to the Armenian Genocide (...).
It was co-sponsored by Congressmen George Radanovich (R-California, 109th District), Frank Pallone (D-New Jersey, 6th District), Joe Knollenberg (R-Michigan, 9th District), Brad Sherman (D-California, 27th District; member of the Foreign Affairs Committee), and Thaddeus McCotter (R-Michigan, 11th District). The resolution was referred to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, which is chaired by Congressman Tom Lantos (D-California, 12th District), a veteran legislator and the only Holocaust survivor ever to serve as a House representative. The Committee will decide whether the resolution should be considered for a vote on the floor of the House. The sponsors of the bill are upbeat that the 110th Congress might finally pass this resolution, assuming that it passes the Committee. But House Resolution 106, which would call for American official recognition of the Armenian Genocide, faces formidable obstacles.

After Turkish diplomacy's recent defeat in France, where a bill outlawing denial of the Armenian Genocide was passed in in October (see my post on Kishkushim - it also includes coverage to the resolution's pre-history), and in the wake of the Hrant Dink assassination, Turkey is doing all it can to thwart the passage of the House resolution. As in previous years, it is attempting to enlist Jewish organizations in its fight. I do not have space here to get into the complex history of the relationships between Turkey, the U.S., Israel, and American Jews. I leave this for a future post. Suffice to say, that some Jewish organizations have in the past supported Turkey's efforts, with an eye to geopolitics - specifically, Turkey's relations with the U.S. and Israel. It is possible that we are witnessing the beginning of a shift in the positions of these Jewish organizations (groups concerned primarily with foreign policy), but it is still too early to tell.

On February 6, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency reported that Turkish Foreign Minister
Abdullah Gül met for 90 minutes Monday night [February 5] with representatives of the United Jewish Communities federation umbrella group, American Jewish Committee, Anti-Defamation League, Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs, American Jewish Congress, Chabad-Lubavitch, B’nai B’rith International and the Orthodox Union. He asked for assistance in facing down legislation sponsored by Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), who is Jewish and who has a substantial Armenian-American constituency.
The article also mentioned that the bill had picked up 169 co-sponsors (JTA).

In fact, the meeting was held after a direct appeal by the Turkish government to the Conference of Presidents of Major Jewish Organizations, which explains the presence of such communal and religious groups as Chabad-Lubavitch, B'nai B'rith, and the Orthodox Union. It is probable that Gül appealed directly to the foreign policy groups to urge House representatives not to pass the bill. Significantly enough, no Jewish organization has come out with a statement on the matter yet, which suggests that most of the Jewish groups are lukewarm about engaging in this dirty work.

But Turkish diplomacy has certain carrots and sticks that it brings to the table. Disregarding the Jewish angle for a moment, Turco-American relations matter a great deal to most members of the current U.S. administration as well as to many Democrats from the Clinton years. Most of the State Department, Pentagon, and other foreign policy types are deeply invested in America's special ties to Turkey. They frequently cite the importance of Incirlik Air Force Base, and the symbolic value of having a Muslim ally such as Turkey more or less (indeed, these days it is less and less) behind America. American Jewish organizations dedicated to foreign policy are also concerned about the prospects of the U.S. losing a strategic ally such as Turkey. They carry two additional concerns - the state of Turkish-Israeli relations and the position of the Jewish community in Turkey. The Turks know this and they will most likely do what they can to use these pressure points.

As was to be expected, the Turkish moves have received a fair amount of coverage, certainly among Armenians in the diaspora and in Armenia. Collectifvan posted a French translation of the JTA article, and PanArmenian.Net cited the Armenian Assembly of America's Regional Director for Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh Arpi Vartanian, who at a Yerevan press conference remarked that
the Turkish delegation uses the large influence of Jewish Lobby, which strongly supports Turkey. “Almost there are no relations between Armenian and Jewish lobbies, they meet rarely for the sake of certain common issues. But recently here too we notice some changes. Some influential Jewish lobbyists started to speak about the Armenian Genocide, they bring as evidences the words of U.S. Ambassador to Ottoman Turkey Henry Morgenthau during World War 1, archival documents. Moreover, Turkey has already approximately calculated that the 106th resolution can be adopted and has doubled its efforts in this direction,” Vartanian stressed.
Talk about the "large influence of [the] Jewish Lobby," especially with the latter term capitalized in this manner, is unlikely to endear the AAA to ordinary American Jews. It would have been wiser to speak with more nuance. There are different Jewish organizations who lobby Congress; they have distinct interests and do not really act cohesively. How large their influence is continues to attract significant debate. Armenians probably realize better than anyone that Jews are sensitive about accusations that "the Jewish Lobby" exercises disproportionate influence on American policy. But Vartanian is right about the state of Armenian-Jewish relations (at the level of organizations) in America. I do not expect much progress on this front over the next year.

However, as I do not tire of repeating, the Jewish grassroots will support this resolution if they are engaged and mobilized. Jews at the grassroots and at the organizational levels are at the forefront of the Darfur struggle. Some Jews, as individuals, have long supported the Armenian struggle for genocide recognition. Given the compelling moral arguments in favor of recognition, there is no reason why an equally large number of Jews might not be enlisted in the recognition cause as well. All it takes is a little more effort.

The Jewish organizations dedicated to foreign policy know that their grassroots membership largely supports recognition. The geopolitical concerns, which require a great deal of explanation, are simply not that compelling when stacked up against the moral arguments. But so far the foreign policy types have counted on the relative lack of awareness among the American Jewish public (though the awareness is probably higher than among Americans as a whole). Given access to the right information, many ordinary Americans would no doubt support the efforts for official recognition of the Armenian Genocide. Among American Jews, the connection is even more intuitive. Jews cannot help but sympathize with the efforts of Armenians to achieve recognition of the tragedy that befell the Armenian people. They know how painful it is to have the historical reality of genocide denied to spite the victims and their descendants. Indeed, there is no doubt in my mind that most American Jews would agree with me that we have a moral responsibility to support the passage of House resolution 106 to achieve the long overdue official recognition of the Armenian Genocide.

I hope that we can reach out to each other and ask American Congressmen to vote for the bill - together and in one voice.

7 comments:

Amos said...

Thanks so much for your post, Anonymous. You definitely cleared some important things up for me.

It actually makes sense to me that conditions in Canada for cooperation between Armenians and Jews are better, for all kinds of reasons.

I didn't know about Lantos's prior positions on recognition resolutions. I think that this time around a lot will depend on what Nancy Pelosi pushes for. I wonder how she is leaning; I'm sure she's being subjected to all kinds of pressures. What do you think would be a good strategy for getting her to commit to recognition and compel the rest of the Democrats to do so? I think the more media exposure this gets, the better for the recognition cause. It's far easier to explain moral issues than geopolitics to voters. It would be a God-send for the resolution if the Administration made some kind of public statement against recognition. I think that given such a scenario, the Democrats would try to capitalize politically and make public their support for the moral position.

Please stay in touch.

Anonymous said...

Nancy Pelosi has been a long time supporter of Genocide recognition and has committed to pushing through the resolution. Last week she was 'unavailable' to meet with Turkish foreign minister Abdullah Gul as the Turks descended on Washington to lobby against the resolution.

Armenians have a bitter history of politicians promising to recognize the Genocide and then folding under intense pressure from Turkey and various lobby groups, including regrettably, AIPAC. George W. Bush specifically courted the Armenian vote and promised to recognize the Genocide prior to his first election as President.

The last time the Genocide resolution was this close was in 2000 when hours before the vote was to take place President Clinton phoned Dennis Hastert, the Republican Speaker of the House, to get him to cancel the vote on the pretext that American interests would be put in danger. Hastert postponed the vote and later killed it. It later transpired that Hastert had received money in cash from Turkish interests for his own re-election campaign.

To see what action is being taken see this post on February 8, 2007
http://www.cilicia.com/armo_life-log.html

Amos said...

Thanks for the link, anonymous. The Turkish lobbying has obviously been very successful, but it wouldn't have been so effective if American politicians were not convinced that some crucial interests were at stake. Lobby groups are most "successful" when their policy aims actually match U.S. interests as American policy makers perceive them. But lawmakers answer to American citizens at the end of the day, and it would be very difficult to convince the latter that recognition of the Armenian Genocide should somehow have a deleterious effect on America's national security. It makes no sense at all. Furthermore, that another state would threaten or try to influence American Congressmen and Senators on a matter of justice like this would surely upset many voters.

Taline said...

This is a very detailed post Amos, very good. I would like to bring one correction and one nuance. France did not pass the bill you mention last october; the National Assembly did it (it is called "proposition de loi"), and for the bill to actually pass, the Senate must vote for it before then end of this month. Then, the last step is to have the bill confirmed by the National Assembly again. The first two steps are the most important, and the most crucial to be secured in our case. Since october, the Senate has constantly delayed reading the bill, because of all kinds of pressure and disagreement about it, in Turkey and in France too. If the Senate does not vote for the bill before its last cession in February, the first vote from the National Assembly will be nullified.
The nuance concerns the quotation regarding the influence of the Jewish lobby. I understand your reaction as you very well know, yet it seems to me that she was not implying a disproportionate influence of the Jewish lobby. She just said -awkwardly I reckon- it was influent, that's all...But that is just a detail on your post.

Amos said...

An important correction, thanks :)

One thing that I am starting to realize, the more I look into the lobbying efforts against a genocide resolution in Washington, is that some deep-rooted consensus existed (and perhaps still exists) among Democratic and Republican policy makers that U.S. interests will be badly damaged if America passes recognition legislation. Thus, the power attributed to various anti-recognition lobby groups on this issue may be a chimera.

I think the real problem lies in some committed people in the State Department and the Pentagon, who have been able to persuade successive administrations that America cannot afford to to go for recognition. The answer to that, as I've suggested before, is to put elected officials in a position where they might lose their hopes of re-election should they vote against recognition.

Anonymous said...

Here is an example of lobbying by the Turkish government aimed at American Jews, in this case Tom Lantos, in order to prevent the Genocide resolution:

http://english.sabah.com.tr/90F0717DEDB142AF9A31321F3909A769.html

Anonymous said...

I would like to mention that the same Turkey (at that time Ottoman Empire) that you are talking about welcomed many Jewish people to its lands. It was an empire known with its tolerance to all religions and ethnicities, especially if you think about the time frame we are talkng about.

1376 from Hungary
1394 from France
1420 from Venice
1492 from Venice
1527 from Hungary
1537 from Italy
1542 from Bohemia
1881 from Russia
1917 from Russia
1933 from Germany and in WW2

The other thing is; I think the organisations in Canada should also spend some of their efforts to get attention to the genocide done in Serbia.